A short comment on Thursday’s by-elections i.e. 15 Feb 2024. Labour won them both, with huge swings from the Tories. In both cases, only obtaining a plurality of votes. Everyone is quite excited about what that means and watching the Tories fight like weasels in a sack will be fun if it wasn’t that we didn’t need the ultra-rightists to be defeated.
Here is Professor John Curtice commenting, and for interest, I took the poll results from today’s politico.eu who run a poll tracker and plugged the results into electoral calculus. They predict the results as follows, a Labour Majority of 290, (I have not reproduced the Northern Ireland line, where 18 MPs will be returned with none being members of the British parties).
And here is the Map, check out where you live, if you make one yourself, the map is interactive, and we can see that there are only six Tories from the big cities,
Originally published at https://davelevy.info on February 17, 2024.
