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I wrote a piece of Mike Phipps, Labour Hub, called, Labour in crisis must change direction, published on 30 Dec. It was a comment on the More in Common poll run on behalf of the Times, reporting that if there were an election tomorrow, Labour would lose 200 seats including those of Angela Rayner, Yvette Cooper and Wes Streeting.
The Independent reports that they would be joined by Ed Miliband, John Healey and Bridgit Phillipson.I plugged the numbers from the independent into electoral calculus, and made the following chart,
I said, “There can be little doubt, this government has had a poor start. Its decisions to cut the pensioners’ winter fuel allowance, and to fail to pay compensation to the WASPI women have not gone down well. While the changes to IHT have provoked massive resistance from rich land owners, pensioners and contributors to private defined contribution schemes have not yet cottoned on to the impact of the IHT changes proposed in the budget.
Labour’s plan is, as it’s always been, to grow the economy and use that growth to fund improvements in services. There are huge questions about whether Labour’s growth plan is sufficient, particularly while…